Kobalt 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, March 12, 2017
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
39
Entries
6
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Kobalt 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 12, 2017, leading 150 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 12, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Clint Bowyer |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Trevor Bayne |
| 14 | 30 | +16 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Erik Jones |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Ryan Newman |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Paul Menard |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Daniel Suarez |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 22 | 9 | -13 | Kyle Busch |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 27 | 27 | — | Landon Cassill |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | David Ragan |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Kurt Busch |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Reed Sorenson |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Gray Gaulding |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Derrike Cope |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Danica Patrick |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Timmy Hill |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Kevin Harvick |
| 39 | 34 | -5 | Corey LaJoie |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 3 | +7.1 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 15 | -0.3 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 18 | -1.1 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 21 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 21 | +1.9 |
| 23 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 23 | -13.8 |
| 24 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 24 | -6.9 |
| 25 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 25 | -5.1 |
| 33 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 33 | -13.1 |
| 37 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 37 | -13.1 |
| 39 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 39 | -16.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 9.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Kobalt 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Kobalt 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Kobalt 400 held?
The 2017 Kobalt 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 12, 2017.