Axalta presents the Pocono 400
Pocono Raceway — June 11, 2017
Ryan Blaney
Winner
160
Laps
39
Entries
9
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2017 Axalta presents the Pocono 400 at Pocono Raceway on June 11, 2017, leading 10 of 160 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Ryan Newman |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Danica Patrick |
| 17 | 7 | -10 | Clint Bowyer |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Ty Dillon |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Paul Menard |
| 21 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 22 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 23 | — | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 24 | — | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 25 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 27 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 28 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 29 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 30 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 31 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 32 | — | — | Brett Moffitt |
| 33 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 35 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 36 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 37 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 38 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 39 | — | — | Derrike Cope |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Clint Bowyer | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 20 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 13 | — | 9 |
| Kevin Harvick | 3 | 17 | — | 8 |
| Danica Patrick | 23 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Kurt Busch | 15 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 31 | — | 6 |
| Ryan Newman | 16 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 17 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 14 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | 9 | 33 | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | 18 | — | 1 |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Derrike Cope | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 9 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 15 | -1.0 |
| 18 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 19 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 19 | -9.8 |
| 27 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 27 | -10.0 |
| 28 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 28 | -13.3 |
| 31 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 31 | -8.8 |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 36 | -11.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 20 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P8 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 17 starts, 9.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Axalta presents the Pocono 400?
Ryan Blaney won the 2017 Axalta presents the Pocono 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Wood Brothers Racing.
Where was the 2017 Axalta presents the Pocono 400 held?
The 2017 Axalta presents the Pocono 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on June 11, 2017.