Coke Zero 400

Daytona International Speedway, July 1, 2017

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
163
Laps
40
Entries
16
Leaders

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 Coke Zero 400 at Daytona International Speedway on July 1, 2017, leading 17 of 163 laps. Clint Bowyer finished second; Paul Menard rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 1, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
16 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 6 +5 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2 11 +9 Clint Bowyer
3 24 +21 Paul Menard
4 23 +19 Michael McDowell
5 22 +17 Ryan Newman
6 30 +24 David Ragan
7 32 +25 Brendan Gaughan
8 27 +19 A.J. Allmendinger
9 17 +8 Erik Jones
10 29 +19 Chris Buescher
11 36 +25 Corey LaJoie
12 12 Jimmie Johnson
13 28 +15 Matt DiBenedetto
14 8 -6 Jamie McMurray
15 31 +16 Bubba Wallace
16 34 +18 Ty Dillon
17 20 +3 Daniel Suarez
18 4 -14 Kasey Kahne
19 26 +7 Landon Cassill
20 16 -4 Kyle Busch
21 33 +12 Elliott Sadler
22 2 -20 Chase Elliott
23 14 -9 Trevor Bayne
24 18 -6 Denny Hamlin
25 10 -15 Danica Patrick
26 9 -17 Ryan Blaney
27 13 -14 Matt Kenseth
28 15 -13 Kurt Busch
29 21 -8 Kyle Larson
30 37 +7 Reed Sorenson
31 3 -28 Brad Keselowski
32 1 -31 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
33 5 -28 Kevin Harvick
34 25 -9 Martin Truex, Jr.
35 7 -28 Joey Logano
36 19 -17 Austin Dillon
37 39 +2 Jeffrey Earnhardt
38 40 +2 D.J. Kennington
39 35 -4 Cole Whitt
40 38 -2 Ryan Sieg
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 1 +17.5
4 Michael McDowell 19.2 4 +15.2
8 A.J. Allmendinger 22.9 8 +14.9
9 Erik Jones 16.0 9 +7.0
10 Chris Buescher 13.6 10 +3.6
11 Corey LaJoie 23.3 11 +12.3
12 Jimmie Johnson 20.0 12 +8.0
15 Bubba Wallace 16.9 15 +1.9
16 Ty Dillon 22.9 16 +6.9
17 Daniel Suarez 15.1 17 -1.9
22 Chase Elliott 13.6 22 -8.4
24 Denny Hamlin 15.1 24 -8.9
26 Ryan Blaney 10.4 26 -15.6
29 Kyle Larson 20.1 29 -8.9
31 Brad Keselowski 18.5 31 -12.5
34 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.5 34 -13.5
35 Joey Logano 18.5 35 -16.5
36 Austin Dillon 21.1 36 -14.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 33 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 19.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P26 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Coke Zero 400?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 Coke Zero 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2017 Coke Zero 400 held?
The 2017 Coke Zero 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 1, 2017.