Overton's 400
Pocono Raceway — July 30, 2017
Kyle Busch
Winner
337
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2017 Overton's 400 at Pocono Raceway on July 30, 2017, leading 74 of 337 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 8 | — | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Kasey Kahne |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Ryan Newman |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Danica Patrick |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Ty Dillon |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 19 | — | Paul Menard |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Trevor Bayne |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 22 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 23 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 24 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 25 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 27 | — | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 28 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 29 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 30 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 31 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 32 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 35 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 36 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 37 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 38 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 39 | — | — | Brett Moffitt |
| 40 | — | — | Ryan Newman |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 6 | — | 15 |
| Erik Jones | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Matt Kenseth | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Brad Keselowski | 7 | 3 | — | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 9 | 8 | — | 5 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 8 | +8.7 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 17 | +6.4 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 18 | -1.0 |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 21 | -3.9 |
| 26 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 26 | -11.3 |
| 28 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 28 | -5.8 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 32 | -7.2 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 47 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Overton's 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2017 Overton's 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2017 Overton's 400 held?
The 2017 Overton's 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 30, 2017.