Kobalt 400

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 12, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Kobalt 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 12, 2017, leading 150 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Track

Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Season

2017

Winner

Martin Truex, Jr.

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	3	+2	Martin Truex, Jr.	Furniture Row Racing	267	Winner	Running	150	60
2	9	+7	Kyle Larson	Chip Ganassi Racing	267	—	Running	—	52
3	10	+7	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	267	—	Running	—	47
4	2	-2	Joey Logano	Team Penske	267	—	Running	5	39
5	17	+12	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	267	—	Running	89	48
6	7	+1	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	267	—	Running	—	31
7	1	-6	Ryan Blaney	Wood Brothers Racing	267	—	Running	—	43
8	12	+4	Jamie McMurray	Chip Ganassi Racing	267	—	Running	—	37
9	14	+5	Matt Kenseth	Joe Gibbs Racing	267	—	Running	—	30
10	30	+20	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	267	—	Running	—	27
11	29	+18	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports	267	—	Running	19	31
12	31	+19	Kasey Kahne	Hendrick Motorsports	267	—	Running	—	25
13	16	+3	Trevor Bayne	Roush Fenway Racing	267	—	Running	—	24
14	13	-1	Aric Almirola	Richard Petty Motorsports	267	—	Running	—	23
15	32	+17	Erik Jones	Furniture Row Racing	267	—	Running	—	22
16	33	+17	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Hendrick Motorsports	267	—	Running	—	26
17	19	+2	Ryan Newman	Richard Childress Racing	267	—	Running	—	22
18	35	+17	Michael McDowell	Leavine Family Racing	267	—	Running	2	19
19	18	-1	Paul Menard	Richard Childress Racing	267	—	Running	—	18
20	15	-5	Daniel Suarez	Joe Gibbs Racing	267	—	Running	—	17
21	22	+1	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	267	—	running	2	16
22	—	—	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Rick Hendrick	191	—	Running	—	15
23	—	—	Kevin Harvick	Stewart Haas Racing	191	—	Running	—	23
24	—	—	Matt Kenseth	Joe Gibbs	190	—	Running	—	13
25	—	—	Ryan Newman	Richard Childress	185	—	Accident	—	12
26	—	—	Brendan Gaughan	Beard Motorsports	183	—	Running	—	0
27	—	—	Corey LaJoie	BK Racing	183	—	Running	—	0
28	—	—	Jeffrey Earnhardt	Joe Falk	174	—	Engine	—	9
29	—	—	Landon Cassill	Bob Jenkins	173	—	Transmission	—	8
30	—	—	Chase Elliott	Rick Hendrick	168	—	Accident	—	7
31	—	—	A.J. Allmendinger	JTG-Daugherty Racing	168	—	Accident	—	6
32	—	—	Joey Logano	Roger Penske	168	—	Accident	—	10
33	—	—	Erik Jones	Barney Visser	168	—	Accident	—	7
34	—	—	Michael McDowell	Leavine Family Racing	168	—	Accident	—	3
35	—	—	Martin Truex, Jr.	Barney Visser	168	—	Accident	—	16
36	—	—	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress	168	—	Accident	—	1
37	—	—	Trevor Bayne	Jack Roush	168	—	Accident	—	7
38	—	—	Danica Patrick	Stewart Haas Racing	168	—	Accident	—	4
39	—	—	Ryan Blaney	Wood Brothers	160	—	Accident	—	11
40	—	—	Reed Sorenson	Jay Robinson	72	—	Accident	—	1

Stage Results

Driver	Stage 1	Stage 2	Stage 3	Stage Pts
Ryan Blaney	3	1	—	18
Martin Truex, Jr.	2	3	—	17
Kyle Larson	4	2	—	16
Denny Hamlin	8	6	—	8
Jamie McMurray	16	4	—	7
Brad Keselowski	5	29	—	6
Kasey Kahne	9	7	—	6
Jimmie Johnson	6	25	—	5
Matt Kenseth	14	8	—	3
Erik Jones	12	9	—	2
Joey Logano	20	10	—	1
Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	—	—	—	—
Kevin Harvick	—	—	—	—
Matt Kenseth	—	—	—	—
Ryan Newman	—	—	—	—
Brendan Gaughan	—	—	—	—
Corey LaJoie	—	—	—	—
Jeffrey Earnhardt	—	—	—	—
Landon Cassill	—	—	—	—
Chase Elliott	—	—	—	—
A.J. Allmendinger	—	—	—	—
Joey Logano	—	—	—	—
Erik Jones	—	—	—	—
Michael McDowell	—	—	—	—
Martin Truex, Jr.	—	—	—	—
Austin Dillon	—	—	—	—
Trevor Bayne	—	—	—	—
Danica Patrick	—	—	—	—
Ryan Blaney	—	—	—	—
Reed Sorenson	—	—	—	—

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	1	+14.4	Coinflip
2	Kyle Larson	12.7	2	+10.7	Coinflip
3	Chase Elliott	7.8	3	+4.8	High Confidence
4	Joey Logano	14.7	4	+10.7	Coinflip
5	Brad Keselowski	11.2	5	+6.2	Moderate
6	Denny Hamlin	8.2	6	+2.2	High Confidence
7	Ryan Blaney	9.2	7	+2.2	High Confidence
11	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	11	+8.9	Moderate
15	Erik Jones	16.7	15	+1.7	Coinflip
18	Michael McDowell	17.0	18	-1.0	Coinflip
20	Daniel Suarez	14.0	20	-6.0	Coinflip
21	Ty Dillon	23.4	21	+2.4	High Confidence
27	Corey LaJoie	22.2	27	-4.8	High Confidence
31	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	31	-12.7	Moderate
36	Austin Dillon	17.1	36	-18.9	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Martin Truex, Jr.: has 27 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.

Track Preview →