Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400
Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 23, 2017
Kasey Kahne
Winner
167
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Kasey Kahne won the 2017 Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 23, 2017, leading 12 of 167 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 23, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +24 | Kasey Kahne |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Ryan Newman |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 13 | +6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 32 | +24 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 29 | +19 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Danica Patrick |
| 12 | 35 | +23 | Cole Whitt |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 38 | +24 | Timmy Hill |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Jamie McMurray |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 2 | -15 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Trevor Bayne |
| 21 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 22 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | 12 | -11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 24 | — | — | Trevor Bayne |
| 25 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 26 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 27 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 28 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 29 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Erik Jones |
| 32 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 33 | 3 | -30 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 34 | 1 | -33 | Kyle Busch |
| 35 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 36 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 37 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 38 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 39 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 40 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 10 | 3 | — | 9 |
| Matt Kenseth | 7 | 9 | — | 6 |
| Daniel Suarez | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Jamie McMurray | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 9 | +0.2 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 14 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 14 | +9.9 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 17 | -8.8 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 18 | -1.0 |
| 19 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 23 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 23 | -13.8 |
| 31 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 31 | -14.3 |
| 33 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 33 | -17.6 |
| 34 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 34 | -17.0 |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 36 | -11.2 |
| 38 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 38 | -24.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kasey Kahne: has 15 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 16.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish, finishing P17 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P15. Track history: 19 starts, 11.4 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400?
Kasey Kahne won the 2017 Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2017 Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400 held?
The 2017 Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400 was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 23, 2017.