Toyota Owners 400
Richmond Raceway — April 30, 2017
Joey Logano
Winner
400
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2017 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on April 30, 2017, leading 25 of 400 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 5 | 5 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 7 | 22 | +15 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 25 | +15 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Daniel Suarez |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Kyle Larson |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 16 | 16 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Danica Patrick |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | David Ragan |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 21 | — | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 22 | — | — | Chase Elliott |
| 23 | 13 | -10 | Matt Kenseth |
| 24 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 25 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 26 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 27 | — | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 28 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 29 | — | — | Kyle Larson |
| 30 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 32 | — | — | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 33 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 34 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 35 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 36 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 37 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 38 | — | — | D.J. Kennington |
| 39 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 40 | — | — | Ryan Sieg |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Kenseth | 9 | 1 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | 1 | 11 | — | 10 |
| Kurt Busch | 8 | 4 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 36 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 17 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Clint Bowyer | 4 | 29 | — | 7 |
| David Ragan | 10 | 5 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 34 | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | 19 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Jamie McMurray | 7 | 13 | — | 4 |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Elliott Sadler | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| D.J. Kennington | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sieg | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 10 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 10 | +3.8 |
| 11 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 11 | +6.7 |
| 12 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 14 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 14 | -5.4 |
| 16 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 17 | -6.7 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 22 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 22 | -13.7 |
| 26 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 26 | -19.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 21 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 12 starts, 18.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Toyota Owners 400?
Joey Logano won the 2017 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2017 Toyota Owners 400 held?
The 2017 Toyota Owners 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on April 30, 2017.