KC Masterpiece 400
Kansas Speedway — May 12, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
267
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 12, 2018, leading 79 of 267 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 12, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 35 | +33 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Paul Menard |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Erik Jones |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 12 | 27 | +15 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 29 | +16 | David Ragan |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 18 | — | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Michael McDowell |
| 37 | 26 | -11 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Kyle Busch | 6 | 3 | — | 13 |
| Kurt Busch | 8 | 2 | — | 12 |
| Clint Bowyer | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Aric Almirola | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Larson | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 7 | +9.7 |
| 10 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 14 | -2.8 |
| 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 17 | +0.1 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 18 | -4.5 |
| 19 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 37 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 37 | -27.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 45 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.8 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P15. Track history: 34 starts, 12.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 held?
The 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 12, 2018.