Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

New Hampshire Motor Speedway, July 22, 2018

Kevin Harvick
Winner
301
Laps
37
Entries
7
Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 22, 2018, leading 12 of 301 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 22, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 14 +13 Kevin Harvick
2 3 +1 Kyle Busch
3 13 +10 Aric Almirola
4 2 -2 Martin Truex, Jr.
5 10 +5 Chase Elliott
6 18 +12 Ryan Newman
7 5 -2 Ryan Blaney
8 1 -7 Kurt Busch
9 19 +10 Joey Logano
10 21 +11 Jimmie Johnson
11 8 -3 Alex Bowman
12 20 +8 Kyle Larson
13 4 -9 Denny Hamlin
14 11 -3 William Byron
15 31 +16 Matt Kenseth
16 7 -9 Erik Jones
17 12 -5 Paul Menard
18 22 +4 Jamie McMurray
19 26 +7 Kasey Kahne
20 24 +4 Chris Buescher
21 17 -4 Austin Dillon
22 9 -13 Daniel Suarez
23 25 +2 Ty Dillon
24 27 +3 Bubba Wallace
25 32 +7 Ross Chastain
26 29 +3 Michael McDowell
27 33 +6 Corey LaJoie
28 28 Matt DiBenedetto
29 30 +1 David Ragan
30 23 -7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
31 35 +4 Kyle Weatherman
32 6 -26 Brad Keselowski
33 37 +4 Blake Jones
34 36 +2 B.J. McLeod
35 15 -20 Clint Bowyer
36 16 -20 A.J. Allmendinger
37 34 -3 Landon Cassill
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
4 Martin Truex, Jr. 14.0 4 +10.0
5 Chase Elliott 9.9 5 +4.9
7 Ryan Blaney 6.8 7 -0.2
9 Joey Logano 10.3 9 +1.3
10 Jimmie Johnson 18.0 10 +8.0
11 Alex Bowman 15.6 11 +4.6
12 Kyle Larson 10.3 12 -1.7
13 Denny Hamlin 6.8 13 -6.2
14 William Byron 10.8 14 -3.2
16 Erik Jones 17.7 16 +1.7
20 Chris Buescher 12.0 20 -8.0
21 Austin Dillon 17.7 21 -3.3
22 Daniel Suarez 14.0 22 -8.0
23 Ty Dillon 23.1 23 +0.1
24 Bubba Wallace 12.6 24 -11.4
25 Ross Chastain 12.6 25 -12.4
26 Michael McDowell 15.6 26 -10.4
27 Corey LaJoie 24.9 27 -2.1
30 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.4 30 -9.6
32 Brad Keselowski 13.8 32 -18.2

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kevin Harvick: has 42 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 22, 2018.