Federated Auto Parts 400
Richmond Raceway — September 22, 2018
Kyle Busch
Winner
400
Laps
20
Entries
8
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway on September 22, 2018, leading 92 of 400 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 22, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Aric Almirola |
| 6 | 26 | +20 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 22 | +15 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 23 | +15 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Alex Bowman |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Joey Logano |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | William Byron |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 3 | — | 14 |
| Erik Jones | 3 | 7 | — | 12 |
| Kurt Busch | 2 | 8 | — | 12 |
| Joey Logano | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 4 | +4.3 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 11 | +6.7 |
| 12 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 13 | +7.1 |
| 14 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 14 | -1.9 |
| 16 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 16 | -9.2 |
| 17 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 17 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 20 | William Byron | 10.3 | 20 | -9.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 10.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P16 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Federated Auto Parts 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2018 Federated Auto Parts 400 held?
The 2018 Federated Auto Parts 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on September 22, 2018.