Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 22, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
301
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 22, 2018, leading 12 of 301 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 22, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Ryan Newman |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 8 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | William Byron |
| 15 | — | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Erik Jones |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Paul Menard |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Jamie McMurray |
| 19 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Chris Buescher |
| 21 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 22 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 24 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 25 | — | — | Kyle Larson |
| 26 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 27 | — | — | Justin Marks |
| 28 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 29 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 14 | -16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 32 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 33 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 34 | — | — | William Byron |
| 35 | — | — | Trevor Bayne |
| 36 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 37 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 38 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
| 39 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 40 | — | — | Stanton Barrett |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Kurt Busch | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 3 | 9 | — | 10 |
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Jamie McMurray | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Aric Almirola | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Ryan Newman | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Marks | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Stanton Barrett | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 21 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 2 | +13.6 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 9 | +3.1 |
| 10 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 10 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 12 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 13 | -6.2 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 16 | +1.7 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 20 | -9.7 |
| 21 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 21 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 22 | +2.3 |
| 24 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 24 | -10.2 |
| 28 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 28 | +0.1 |
| 30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 30 | -9.9 |
| 31 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 31 | -19.0 |
| 36 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 36 | -22.0 |
| 38 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 38 | -13.7 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 43 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.0 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P16. Track history: 44 starts, 11.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2018 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 22, 2018.