KC Masterpiece 400
Kansas Speedway, May 12, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 12, 2018, leading 79 of 267 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 12, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Paul Menard |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Erik Jones |
| 8 | 8 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | David Ragan |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 33 | +18 | Clint Bowyer |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 20 | 36 | +16 | Michael McDowell |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Kasey Kahne |
| 22 | 37 | +15 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Bubba Wallace |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Reed Sorenson |
| 28 | 14 | -14 | Daniel Suarez |
| 29 | 29 | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 30 | 15 | -15 | Ryan Newman |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Jamie McMurray |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Timmy Hill |
| 33 | 13 | -20 | William Byron |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Chris Buescher |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Matt Kenseth |
| 37 | 2 | -35 | Ryan Blaney |
| 38 | 26 | -12 | Ty Dillon |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 23 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 3 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 4 | +9.1 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 7 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 12 | -1.9 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 18 | -1.8 |
| 19 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 20 | -3.1 |
| 23 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 23 | -10.3 |
| 24 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 24 | -1.8 |
| 26 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 26 | -11.5 |
| 28 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 28 | -15.3 |
| 32 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 32 | -8.1 |
| 33 | William Byron | 10.7 | 33 | -22.3 |
| 34 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 34 | -24.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 45 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 10.0 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P15. Track history: 33 starts, 12.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 held?
The 2018 KC Masterpiece 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 12, 2018.