Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway, October 20, 2019
Denny Hamlin
Winner
277
Laps
40
Entries
12
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2019, leading 153 of 277 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 20, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | +22 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | William Byron |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Erik Jones |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | Clint Bowyer |
| 9 | 40 | +31 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 28 | +16 | Ryan Preece |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Chris Buescher |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Kyle Larson |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 4 | -15 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Austin Dillon |
| 21 | 3 | -18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | 13 | -10 | Aric Almirola |
| 24 | 6 | -18 | Michael McDowell |
| 25 | 17 | -8 | Matt Tifft |
| 26 | 2 | -24 | David Ragan |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Parker Kligerman |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Daniel Hemric |
| 32 | 8 | -24 | Daniel Suarez |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 35 | 10 | -25 | Bubba Wallace |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Josh Bilicki |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Landon Cassill |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Timmy Hill |
| 40 | 7 | -33 | Ryan Newman |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 5 | William Byron | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 10 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 11 | +5.2 |
| 12 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 12 | +1.3 |
| 13 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 14 | -0.9 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 17 | -5.1 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 19 | -3.6 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 21 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 21 | -12.8 |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 22 | +0.9 |
| 24 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 24 | -7.1 |
| 27 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 27 | -12.5 |
| 28 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 28 | -5.8 |
| 30 | J.J. Yeley | 28.6 | 30 | -1.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2019.