Drydene 311 (Sunday)
Dover Motor Speedway — August 23, 2020
Kevin Harvick
Winner
311
Laps
20
Entries
6
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) at Dover Motor Speedway on August 23, 2020, leading 223 of 311 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 23, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 17 | +14 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | William Byron |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Austin Dillon |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Cole Custer |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 2 | -11 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Clint Bowyer |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Tyler Reddick |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Denny Hamlin |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Buescher | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Joey Logano | 2 | 16 | — | 9 |
| Austin Dillon | 3 | 18 | — | 8 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 20 | 5 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | 18 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Ryan Blaney | 14 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Tyler Reddick | 7 | 14 | — | 4 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | 29 | — | 2 |
| Cole Custer | 10 | 30 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 3 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.3 | 4 | +6.3 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 5 | +9.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 6 | +6.1 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| 9 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 10 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 10 | +13.0 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 11 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 12 | -5.2 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 18 | -8.1 |
| 19 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 20 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 13 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 17.5 avg finish, finishing P12 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 8 starts, 9.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday)?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) held?
The 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) was held at Dover Motor Speedway on August 23, 2020.