Coke Zero Sugar 400

Daytona International Speedway, August 29, 2020

William Byron
Winner
164
Laps
40
Entries
16
Leaders

William Byron won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 29, 2020, leading 24 of 164 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 29, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 6 +5 William Byron
2 27 +25 Chase Elliott
3 10 +7 Denny Hamlin
4 2 -2 Martin Truex, Jr.
5 21 +16 Bubba Wallace
6 9 +3 Ryan Blaney
7 8 +1 Alex Bowman
8 40 +32 Brendan Gaughan
9 17 +8 Chris Buescher
10 4 -6 Brad Keselowski
11 24 +13 John Hunter Nemechek
12 15 +3 Matt DiBenedetto
13 23 +10 Christopher Bell
14 26 +12 Michael McDowell
15 32 +17 Brennan Poole
16 36 +20 Ross Chastain
17 7 -10 Jimmie Johnson
18 5 -13 Aric Almirola
19 14 -5 Clint Bowyer
20 1 -19 Kevin Harvick
21 25 +4 Corey LaJoie
22 29 +7 Ty Dillon
23 34 +11 Quin Houff
24 35 +11 Timmy Hill
25 12 -13 Austin Dillon
26 30 +4 Daniel Suarez
27 3 -24 Joey Logano
28 19 -9 Matt Kenseth
29 18 -11 Tyler Reddick
30 16 -14 Cole Custer
31 37 +6 Joey Gase
32 31 -1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
33 11 -22 Kyle Busch
34 13 -21 Kurt Busch
35 20 -15 Erik Jones
36 22 -14 Ryan Newman
37 28 -9 Ryan Preece
38 39 +1 Josh Bilicki
39 38 -1 James Davison
40 33 -7 J.J. Yeley
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Joey Logano 1 1 20
Jimmie Johnson 5 5 12
Martin Truex, Jr. 2 9
Ryan Blaney 4 9 9
Erik Jones 2 9
Clint Bowyer 3 8
Tyler Reddick 3 8
Kurt Busch 4 7
Christopher Bell 6 10 6
Brad Keselowski 6 5
William Byron 7 4
Matt DiBenedetto 7 4
Michael McDowell 8 3
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 8 3
Denny Hamlin 9 2
Kyle Busch 10 1
Chase Elliott
Bubba Wallace
Alex Bowman
Brendan Gaughan
Chris Buescher
John Hunter Nemechek
Brennan Poole
Ross Chastain
Aric Almirola
Kevin Harvick
Corey LaJoie
Ty Dillon
Quin Houff
Timmy Hill
Austin Dillon
Daniel Suarez
Matt Kenseth
Cole Custer
Joey Gase
Ryan Newman
Ryan Preece
Josh Bilicki
James Davison
J.J. Yeley
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 William Byron 13.9 1 +12.9
2 Chase Elliott 13.6 2 +11.6
3 Denny Hamlin 15.1 3 +12.1
4 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.5 4 +16.5
5 Bubba Wallace 16.9 5 +11.9
6 Ryan Blaney 10.4 6 +4.4
7 Alex Bowman 17.4 7 +10.4
9 Chris Buescher 13.6 9 +4.6
10 Brad Keselowski 18.5 10 +8.5
11 John Hunter Nemechek 20.5 11 +9.5
13 Christopher Bell 15.1 13 +2.1
14 Michael McDowell 19.2 14 +5.2
15 Brennan Poole 24.0 15 +9.0
16 Ross Chastain 16.0 16 0.0
17 Jimmie Johnson 20.0 17 +3.0
21 Corey LaJoie 23.3 21 +2.3
22 Ty Dillon 22.9 22 +0.9
24 Timmy Hill 22.8 24 -1.2
25 Austin Dillon 21.1 25 -3.9
26 Daniel Suarez 15.1 26 -10.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • William Byron: has 20 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 20.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 40 starts, 21.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
William Byron won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 29, 2020.