Coke Zero Sugar 400
Daytona International Speedway — August 29, 2020
William Byron
Winner
164
Laps
26
Entries
16
Leaders
William Byron won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 29, 2020, leading 24 of 164 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 29, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | William Byron |
| 2 | 2 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 26 | +21 | Bubba Wallace |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | — | — | Brendan Gaughan |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 13 | 35 | +22 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Michael McDowell |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Brennan Poole |
| 16 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 20 | 4 | -16 | Kevin Harvick |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Daniel Suarez |
| 27 | 8 | -19 | Joey Logano |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Tyler Reddick |
| 33 | 9 | -24 | Kyle Busch |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Kurt Busch |
| 35 | 14 | -21 | Erik Jones |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 1 | — | 14 |
| William Byron | 4 | 7 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 20 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 3 | 15 | — | 8 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 27 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Alex Bowman | 17 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Tyler Reddick | 16 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | 9 | 24 | — | 2 |
| Michael McDowell | 19 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Brad Keselowski | 13 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Erik Jones | 10 | 19 | — | 1 |
| Brendan Gaughan | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 20 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Byron | 13.9 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 2 | +8.4 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 5 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 5 | +11.0 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 6 | +7.9 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 7 | +8.1 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 9 | +4.6 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 10 | +6.0 |
| 11 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 11 | +9.5 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 13 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 14 | +6.0 |
| 15 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 15 | +10.2 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 16 | +1.4 |
| 17 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 17 | +1.9 |
| 26 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 26 | -10.9 |
| 27 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 27 | -6.5 |
| 29 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 29 | -15.4 |
| 33 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 33 | -17.9 |
| 35 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 35 | -16.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- William Byron: has 17 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.7 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 35 starts, 21.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
William Byron won the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 29, 2020.