Drydene 311 (Saturday)
Dover Motor Speedway, August 22, 2020
Denny Hamlin
Winner
311
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Saturday) at Dover Motor Speedway on August 22, 2020, leading 115 of 311 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 22, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 22 | +19 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Cole Custer |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 15 | 32 | +17 | Austin Dillon |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 17 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Ryan Newman |
| 20 | 14 | -6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Alex Bowman |
| 22 | 18 | -4 | Christopher Bell |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Matt Kenseth |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Ryan Preece |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 28 | 8 | -20 | William Byron |
| 29 | 29 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Quin Houff |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Joey Gase |
| 36 | 30 | -6 | Brennan Poole |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 39 | 36 | -3 | Reed Sorenson |
| 40 | 9 | -31 | Kurt Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Clint Bowyer | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Kevin Harvick | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Austin Dillon | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Chris Buescher | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 2 | +12.0 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 7 | +10.7 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 12.6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 9 | +3.6 |
| 10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.2 | 10 | +10.2 |
| 11 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 11 | +12.0 |
| 12 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 12 | +5.7 |
| 13 | Tyler Reddick | 8.6 | 13 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 14 | -7.2 |
| 15 | Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 15 | +0.6 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 16 | -5.7 |
| 18 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 18 | +6.3 |
| 21 | Alex Bowman | 15.0 | 21 | -6.0 |
| 22 | Christopher Bell | 9.9 | 22 | -12.1 |
| 24 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.0 | 24 | -5.0 |
| 25 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 25 | -14.2 |
| 26 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 26 | -11.3 |
| 27 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 27 | -13.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 9.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P14. Track history: 12 starts, 5.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Saturday)?
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Saturday) at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2020 Drydene 311 (Saturday) held?
The 2020 Drydene 311 (Saturday) was held at Dover Motor Speedway on August 22, 2020.