Drydene 311 (Sunday)
Dover Motor Speedway, August 23, 2020
Kevin Harvick
Winner
311
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) at Dover Motor Speedway on August 23, 2020, leading 223 of 311 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 23, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | William Byron |
| 5 | 21 | +16 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 10 | 10 | — | Cole Custer |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Matt Kenseth |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 17 | 1 | -16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 22 | 9 | -13 | Erik Jones |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 24 | 2 | -22 | Ryan Newman |
| 25 | 25 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Ryan Preece |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Christopher Bell |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 29 | 3 | -26 | Ty Dillon |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Brennan Poole |
| 31 | 40 | +9 | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Quin Houff |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 36 | 36 | — | Timmy Hill |
| 37 | 11 | -26 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 38 | 32 | -6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 16 | -23 | Chase Elliott |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | Joey Gase |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Joey Logano | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| William Byron | 3 | 6 | — | 13 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Aric Almirola | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 10 | — | 7 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Cole Custer | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Austin Dillon | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 2 | +12.0 |
| 3 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 4 | William Byron | 12.0 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 15.0 | 5 | +10.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 12.6 | 6 | +6.6 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 10 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 10 | +13.0 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 12 | -5.2 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Tyler Reddick | 8.6 | 18 | -9.4 |
| 19 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 20 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.0 | 20 | -1.0 |
| 21 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 21 | -7.0 |
| 22 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 22 | -4.3 |
| 23 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 23 | +1.9 |
| 25 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 25 | -10.3 |
| 26 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 26 | -15.2 |
| 27 | Christopher Bell | 9.9 | 27 | -17.1 |
| 28 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 28 | -12.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 11 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 7.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 15.6 avg finish, finishing P12 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 9 starts, 12.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday)?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) held?
The 2020 Drydene 311 (Sunday) was held at Dover Motor Speedway on August 23, 2020.