GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway — June 22, 2020
Ryan Blaney
Winner
191
Laps
27
Entries
19
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2020 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on June 22, 2020, leading 63 of 191 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, June 22, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 31 | +29 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Erik Jones |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Chris Buescher |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | William Byron |
| 12 | 25 | +13 | Ty Dillon |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Ryan Preece |
| 16 | 33 | +17 | Corey LaJoie |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 18 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 4 | -15 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Ryan Newman |
| 24 | 11 | -13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Christopher Bell |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | Kyle Busch |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Brennan Poole |
| 38 | 3 | -35 | Chase Elliott |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 8 | — | 12 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 3 | — | 11 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Kevin Harvick | 3 | 19 | — | 8 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | 30 | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 12 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | 20 | — | 5 |
| Ryan Preece | 9 | 17 | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | 21 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 15 | 10 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 2 | +16.5 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 5 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 5 | +13.5 |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 6 | +7.6 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 7 | +8.1 |
| 8 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 8 | +12.5 |
| 11 | William Byron | 13.9 | 11 | +2.9 |
| 12 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 12 | +9.1 |
| 13 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 13 | +5.9 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| 15 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 15 | +6.1 |
| 16 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 16 | +7.3 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 18 | +2.0 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 19 | -3.0 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 24 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 24 | -3.9 |
| 29 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 29 | -11.6 |
| 32 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 32 | -16.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 27 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P38 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P19. Track history: 24 starts, 12.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 GEICO 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2020 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 GEICO 500 held?
The 2020 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on June 22, 2020.