GEICO 500

Talladega Superspeedway, June 22, 2020

Ryan Blaney
Winner
191
Laps
40
Entries
19
Leaders

Ryan Blaney won the 2020 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on June 22, 2020, leading 63 of 191 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, June 22, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 12 +11 Ryan Blaney
2 20 +18 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
3 15 +12 Aric Almirola
4 2 -2 Denny Hamlin
5 18 +13 Erik Jones
6 21 +15 Chris Buescher
7 8 +1 Alex Bowman
8 22 +14 John Hunter Nemechek
9 7 -2 Kurt Busch
10 5 -5 Kevin Harvick
11 19 +8 William Byron
12 33 +21 Ty Dillon
13 4 -9 Jimmie Johnson
14 24 +10 Bubba Wallace
15 31 +16 Ryan Preece
16 25 +9 Corey LaJoie
17 9 -8 Joey Logano
18 26 +8 Michael McDowell
19 6 -13 Brad Keselowski
20 16 -4 Tyler Reddick
21 39 +18 Brendan Gaughan
22 28 +6 Cole Custer
23 1 -22 Martin Truex, Jr.
24 14 -10 Ryan Newman
25 10 -15 Clint Bowyer
26 23 -3 Matt DiBenedetto
27 32 +5 Quin Houff
28 37 +9 Daniel Suarez
29 35 +6 Christopher Bell
30 29 -1 Gray Gaulding
31 30 -1 B.J. McLeod
32 3 -29 Kyle Busch
33 38 +5 Timmy Hill
34 40 +6 Garrett Smithley
35 27 -8 Brennan Poole
36 34 -2 J.J. Yeley
37 36 -1 Joey Gase
38 11 -27 Chase Elliott
39 17 -22 Austin Dillon
40 13 -27 Matt Kenseth
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ryan Blaney 6 2 14
Kyle Busch 5 3 14
Joey Logano 3 6 13
Brad Keselowski 7 4 11
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1 10
Tyler Reddick 1 10
Alex Bowman 2 9
Jimmie Johnson 4 7
Christopher Bell 5 6
Bubba Wallace 7 4
Kurt Busch 8 3
Cole Custer 8 3
Chris Buescher 9 2
William Byron 10 10 2
Chase Elliott 9 2
Aric Almirola
Denny Hamlin
Erik Jones
John Hunter Nemechek
Kevin Harvick
Ty Dillon
Ryan Preece
Corey LaJoie
Michael McDowell
Brendan Gaughan
Martin Truex, Jr.
Ryan Newman
Clint Bowyer
Matt DiBenedetto
Quin Houff
Daniel Suarez
Gray Gaulding
B.J. McLeod
Timmy Hill
Garrett Smithley
Brennan Poole
J.J. Yeley
Joey Gase
Austin Dillon
Matt Kenseth
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Blaney 10.4 1 +9.4
2 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 2 +16.5
4 Denny Hamlin 15.1 4 +11.1
5 Erik Jones 16.0 5 +11.0
6 Chris Buescher 13.6 6 +7.6
7 Alex Bowman 17.4 7 +10.4
8 John Hunter Nemechek 20.5 8 +12.5
11 William Byron 13.9 11 +2.9
12 Ty Dillon 22.9 12 +10.9
13 Jimmie Johnson 20.0 13 +7.0
14 Bubba Wallace 16.9 14 +2.9
15 Ryan Preece 21.1 15 +6.1
16 Corey LaJoie 23.3 16 +7.3
17 Joey Logano 18.5 17 +1.5
18 Michael McDowell 19.2 18 +1.2
19 Brad Keselowski 18.5 19 -0.5
20 Tyler Reddick 13.9 20 -6.1
22 Cole Custer 22.9 22 +0.9
23 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.5 23 -2.5
28 Daniel Suarez 15.1 28 -12.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Blaney: has 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P19. Track history: 27 starts, 14.6 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 GEICO 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2020 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 GEICO 500 held?
The 2020 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on June 22, 2020.