Dixie Vodka 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway, June 14, 2020
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020, leading 137 of 267 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 14, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 24 | +20 | Tyler Reddick |
| 5 | 21 | +16 | Aric Almirola |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | William Byron |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Michael McDowell |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Kurt Busch |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 21 | 15 | -6 | Erik Jones |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 13 | -10 | Chris Buescher |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Ryan Preece |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 26 | 7 | -19 | Kevin Harvick |
| 27 | 2 | -25 | Joey Logano |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 30 | 14 | -16 | Ryan Newman |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Brennan Poole |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | Quin Houff |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | B.J. McLeod |
| 36 | 29 | -7 | Joey Gase |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Josh Bilicki |
| 38 | 25 | -13 | J.J. Yeley |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Tyler Reddick | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| William Byron | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 5 | 10 | — | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Clint Bowyer | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Chris Buescher | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 7 | +12.9 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 13 | -0.3 |
| 15 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 15 | +1.9 |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 18 | -1.8 |
| 19 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 19 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 21 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 21 | -6.3 |
| 22 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 22 | 0.0 |
| 23 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 23 | -13.8 |
| 24 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 24 | -10.7 |
| 27 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 27 | -15.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P20. Track history: 19 starts, 12.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 held?
The 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020.