Pocono Organics 325

Pocono Raceway — June 27, 2020

Kevin Harvick
Winner
130
Laps
21
Entries
8
Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2020, leading 17 of 130 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 27, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Kevin Harvick
2 2 Denny Hamlin
3 4 +1 Aric Almirola
4 29 +25 Christopher Bell
5 7 +2 Kyle Busch
6 12 +6 Martin Truex, Jr.
7 9 +2 Clint Bowyer
8 21 +13 Michael McDowell
9 5 -4 Brad Keselowski
10 22 +12 Chris Buescher
11 20 +9 Matt Kenseth
12 11 -1 Ryan Blaney
13 15 +2 Matt DiBenedetto
14 19 +5 William Byron
15 13 -2 Ryan Newman
16 16 Cole Custer
17 32 +15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
18 10 -8 Kurt Busch
19 18 -1 Austin Dillon
20 35 +15 Ryan Preece
36 1 -35 Joey Logano
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kevin Harvick 1 1 20
Denny Hamlin 2 3 17
Ryan Blaney 3 2 17
Brad Keselowski 5 5 12
Kurt Busch 4 7 11
Kyle Busch 9 6 7
Clint Bowyer 11 9 2
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 10 13 1
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Denny Hamlin 8.2 2 +6.2
4 Christopher Bell 10.7 4 +6.7
6 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 6 +9.4
8 Michael McDowell 17.0 8 +9.0
9 Brad Keselowski 11.2 9 +2.2
10 Chris Buescher 9.2 10 -0.8
12 Ryan Blaney 9.2 12 -2.8
14 William Byron 10.7 14 -3.3
16 Cole Custer 22.9 16 +6.9
17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 17 +2.9
19 Austin Dillon 17.1 19 -1.9
20 Ryan Preece 10.1 20 -9.9
36 Joey Logano 14.7 36 -21.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kevin Harvick: has 45 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.2 avg finish (8 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 at Pocono Raceway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 held?
The 2020 Pocono Organics 325 was held at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2020.