Xfinity 500

Martinsville Speedway — November 1, 2020

Chase Elliott
Winner
500
Laps
22
Entries
10
Leaders

Chase Elliott won the 2020 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on November 1, 2020, leading 236 of 500 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 1, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 19 +18 Chase Elliott
2 18 +16 Ryan Blaney
3 8 +5 Joey Logano
4 20 +16 Brad Keselowski
5 14 +9 Kurt Busch
6 2 -4 Alex Bowman
7 6 -1 Aric Almirola
8 39 +31 Clint Bowyer
9 17 +8 Kyle Busch
10 4 -6 Matt DiBenedetto
11 29 +18 Denny Hamlin
12 10 -2 Erik Jones
13 9 -4 Cole Custer
14 26 +12 Matt Kenseth
15 12 -3 Christopher Bell
16 25 +9 Ty Dillon
17 16 -1 Kevin Harvick
18 27 +9 Ryan Newman
19 22 +3 Ryan Preece
20 24 +4 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
22 15 -7 Martin Truex, Jr.
25 23 -2 Corey LaJoie
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ryan Blaney 2 2 18
Joey Logano 1 3 18
Alex Bowman 5 1 16
Kevin Harvick 4 5 13
Chase Elliott 9 4 9
Kurt Busch 8 6 8
Matt DiBenedetto 3 19 8
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 6 13 5
Christopher Bell 18 9 2
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Elliott 8.3 1 +7.3
2 Ryan Blaney 6.8 2 +4.8
3 Joey Logano 12.1 3 +9.1
4 Brad Keselowski 12.0 4 +8.0
6 Alex Bowman 14.0 6 +8.0
9 Kyle Busch 15.6 9 +6.6
11 Denny Hamlin 6.8 11 -4.2
12 Erik Jones 17.7 12 +5.7
13 Cole Custer 23.0 13 +10.0
15 Christopher Bell 8.6 15 -6.4
16 Ty Dillon 24.3 16 +8.3
19 Ryan Preece 10.8 19 -8.2
20 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 20 +0.1
22 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 22 -8.2
25 Corey LaJoie 24.9 25 -0.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott: has 26 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 Xfinity 500?
Chase Elliott won the 2020 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2020 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2020 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on November 1, 2020.