Xfinity 500
Martinsville Speedway, November 1, 2020
Chase Elliott
Winner
500
Laps
39
Entries
10
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2020 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on November 1, 2020, leading 236 of 500 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 1, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 5 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Alex Bowman |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 9 | 9 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Erik Jones |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Matt Kenseth |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Christopher Bell |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 6 | -11 | Kevin Harvick |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Ryan Preece |
| 20 | 18 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Bubba Wallace |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 23 | 14 | -9 | Austin Dillon |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 30 | 27 | -3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Quin Houff |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 35 | 13 | -22 | William Byron |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | James Davison |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Brennan Poole |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | Chris Buescher |
| 39 | 36 | -3 | Garrett Smithley |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Chase Elliott | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 7 | — | 12 |
| Alex Bowman | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | 5 | — | 8 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| James Davison | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 1 | +8.9 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 6 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 12 | +5.7 |
| 13 | Cole Custer | 22.1 | 13 | +9.1 |
| 15 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 15 | -6.7 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 19 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 19 | -6.4 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 21 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 21 | -8.4 |
| 22 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 22 | -8.0 |
| 23 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 23 | -5.3 |
| 24 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 24 | -12.0 |
| 25 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 25 | -0.1 |
| 26 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.0 | 26 | -7.0 |
| 27 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 27 | -13.0 |
| 28 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 28 | -12.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 26 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 8.0 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Xfinity 500?
Chase Elliott won the 2020 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2020 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2020 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on November 1, 2020.