Bank of America 500

Charlotte Motor Speedway, October 8, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
337
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 8, 2017, leading 91 of 337 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 17 +16 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 7 +5 Chase Elliott
3 3 Kevin Harvick
4 1 -3 Denny Hamlin
5 18 +13 Jamie McMurray
6 14 +8 Daniel Suarez
7 25 +18 Jimmie Johnson
8 15 +7 Ryan Blaney
9 9 Kasey Kahne
10 10 Kyle Larson
11 2 -9 Matt Kenseth
12 23 +11 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
13 22 +9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
14 26 +12 Trevor Bayne
15 6 -9 Brad Keselowski
16 13 -3 Austin Dillon
17 38 +21 Erik Jones
18 21 +3 Chris Buescher
19 20 +1 Paul Menard
20 19 -1 A.J. Allmendinger
21 27 +6 Ty Dillon
22 8 -14 Kurt Busch
23 29 +6 Matt DiBenedetto
24 24 Aric Almirola
25 30 +5 Landon Cassill
26 28 +2 Joey Logano
27 5 -22 Clint Bowyer
28 39 +11 Corey LaJoie
29 4 -25 Kyle Busch
30 37 +7 Jeffrey Earnhardt
31 34 +3 Reed Sorenson
32 33 +1 B.J. McLeod
33 36 +3 Timmy Hill
34 32 -2 Cole Whitt
35 16 -19 Michael McDowell
36 35 -1 Gray Gaulding
37 31 -6 David Ragan
38 12 -26 Danica Patrick
39 40 +1 Brett Moffitt
40 11 -29 Ryan Newman
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
2 Chase Elliott 10.1 2 +8.1
4 Denny Hamlin 6.2 4 +2.2
6 Daniel Suarez 12.7 6 +6.7
7 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Ryan Blaney 8.2 8 +0.2
10 Kyle Larson 13.1 10 +3.1
13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 13 +6.9
15 Brad Keselowski 15.4 15 +0.4
16 Austin Dillon 19.9 16 +3.9
17 Erik Jones 14.7 17 -2.3
18 Chris Buescher 9.2 18 -8.8
20 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 20 -2.9
21 Ty Dillon 22.9 21 +1.9
26 Joey Logano 11.9 26 -14.1
28 Corey LaJoie 22.2 28 -5.8
32 B.J. McLeod 24.7 32 -7.3
33 Timmy Hill 23.9 33 -9.1
35 Michael McDowell 16.9 35 -18.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 26 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Bank of America 500?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Bank of America 500 held?
The 2017 Bank of America 500 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 8, 2017.