Bank of America 500

Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 8, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
337
Laps
21
Entries
8
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 8, 2017, leading 91 of 337 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 18 +16 Chase Elliott
3 9 +6 Kevin Harvick
4 1 -3 Denny Hamlin
5 13 +8 Jamie McMurray
6 10 +4 Daniel Suarez
7 22 +15 Jimmie Johnson
8 11 +3 Ryan Blaney
9 27 +18 Kasey Kahne
10 7 -3 Kyle Larson
11 4 -7 Matt Kenseth
12 24 +12 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
13 6 -7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
14 12 -2 Trevor Bayne
15 5 -10 Brad Keselowski
16 17 +1 Austin Dillon
17 14 -3 Erik Jones
18 29 +11 Chris Buescher
19 15 -4 Paul Menard
20 26 +6 A.J. Allmendinger
29 3 -26 Kyle Busch
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 1 1 20
Chase Elliott 6 9 7
Denny Hamlin 8 10 4
Matt Kenseth 7 4
Martin Truex, Jr. 5 2
Kevin Harvick 4 3
Jamie McMurray
Daniel Suarez
Jimmie Johnson
Ryan Blaney
Kasey Kahne
Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Trevor Bayne
Brad Keselowski 2 5
Austin Dillon
Erik Jones
Chris Buescher
Paul Menard
A.J. Allmendinger
Kyle Busch 3 4
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
2 Chase Elliott 7.8 2 +5.8
4 Denny Hamlin 8.2 4 +4.2
6 Daniel Suarez 14.0 6 +8.0
7 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Ryan Blaney 9.2 8 +1.2
10 Kyle Larson 12.7 10 +2.7
13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 13 +6.9
15 Brad Keselowski 11.2 15 -3.8
16 Austin Dillon 17.1 16 +1.1
17 Erik Jones 16.7 17 -0.3
18 Chris Buescher 9.2 18 -8.8
20 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 20 -1.7
29 Kyle Busch 17.0 29 -12.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 25 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Bank of America 500?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Bank of America 500 held?
The 2017 Bank of America 500 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 8, 2017.