Ford EcoBoost 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 18, 2018
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2018, leading 80 of 267 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 18, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Kevin Harvick |
| 4 | 32 | +28 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 28 | +23 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | — | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 9 | 25 | +16 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 23 | +12 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Kyle Larson |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Jamie McMurray |
| 19 | 33 | +14 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | David Ragan |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Aric Almirola | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Clint Bowyer | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Kurt Busch | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Busch | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Austin Dillon | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McMurray | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 13 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 13 | -0.3 |
| 14 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 17 | -7.8 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 19 | -0.7 |
| 28 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 28 | -11.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 20 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.4 avg finish, finishing P7 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 400?
Joey Logano won the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 held?
The 2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 18, 2018.