Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard
Indianapolis Motor Speedway — September 8, 2019
Kevin Harvick
Winner
160
Laps
23
Entries
8
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on September 8, 2019, leading 118 of 160 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Bubba Wallace rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 8, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40 | +39 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 29 | +27 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Bubba Wallace |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | William Byron |
| 5 | 21 | +16 | Clint Bowyer |
| 6 | 23 | +17 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Ryan Newman |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Paul Menard |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Ryan Preece |
| 17 | 6 | -11 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 31 | +12 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 2 | -18 | David Ragan |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 33 | 5 | -28 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Jimmie Johnson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 7 | — | 14 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 2 | — | 13 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| William Byron | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Paul Menard | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2 | +12.7 |
| 3 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 7 | +2.2 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 13 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 13 | +10.4 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 16 | -5.9 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 17 | 0.0 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 22 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 22 | -8.7 |
| 33 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 33 | -20.3 |
| 35 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 35 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 23 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 7.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 12.6 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P15. Track history: 19 starts, 11.4 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard?
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard held?
The 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on September 8, 2019.