Coke Zero Sugar 400
Daytona International Speedway, July 7, 2019
Justin Haley
Winner
127
Laps
40
Entries
14
Leaders
Justin Haley won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on July 7, 2019, leading 1 of 127 laps. William Byron finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 7, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | +33 | Justin Haley |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | William Byron |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | Ty Dillon |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Ryan Newman |
| 6 | 30 | +24 | Corey LaJoie |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 25 | +17 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 9 | 31 | +22 | Matt Tifft |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 33 | +22 | Landon Cassill |
| 12 | 37 | +25 | J.J. Yeley |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Michael McDowell |
| 14 | 2 | -12 | Kyle Busch |
| 15 | 29 | +14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Daniel Hemric |
| 19 | 39 | +20 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Kyle Larson |
| 21 | 9 | -12 | Alex Bowman |
| 22 | 5 | -17 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Erik Jones |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 25 | 1 | -24 | Joey Logano |
| 26 | 6 | -20 | Denny Hamlin |
| 27 | 40 | +13 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | B.J. McLeod |
| 29 | 4 | -25 | Kevin Harvick |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Parker Kligerman |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Ryan Preece |
| 33 | 21 | -12 | Austin Dillon |
| 34 | 16 | -18 | Clint Bowyer |
| 35 | 7 | -28 | Chase Elliott |
| 36 | 10 | -26 | Ryan Blaney |
| 37 | 32 | -5 | Quin Houff |
| 38 | 27 | -11 | David Ragan |
| 39 | 3 | -36 | Brad Keselowski |
| 40 | 15 | -25 | Daniel Suarez |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 1 | +22.4 |
| 2 | William Byron | 13.9 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 3 | Jimmie Johnson | 20.0 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 4 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 4 | +18.9 |
| 6 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 6 | +17.3 |
| 12 | J.J. Yeley | 25.5 | 12 | +13.5 |
| 13 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 13 | +6.2 |
| 15 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 15 | +1.9 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 17 | -3.4 |
| 20 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 21 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 21 | -3.6 |
| 22 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.5 | 22 | -1.5 |
| 23 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 23 | -7.0 |
| 24 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 24 | -5.5 |
| 25 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 25 | -6.5 |
| 26 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 26 | -10.9 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 27 | -3.3 |
| 28 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 28 | -2.5 |
| 30 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 30 | -14.0 |
| 32 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 32 | -10.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Haley: has 25 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P36 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
Justin Haley won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Spire Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 7, 2019.