Coke Zero Sugar 400

Daytona International Speedway — July 7, 2019

Justin Haley
Winner
127
Laps
29
Entries
14
Leaders

Justin Haley won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on July 7, 2019, leading 1 of 127 laps. William Byron finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 7, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 Justin Haley
2 1 -1 William Byron
3 6 +3 Jimmie Johnson
4 29 +25 Ty Dillon
5 24 +19 Ryan Newman
6 27 +21 Corey LaJoie
7 30 +23 Aric Almirola
8 19 +11 Matt DiBenedetto
9 32 +23 Matt Tifft
10 4 -6 Kurt Busch
11 25 +14 Landon Cassill
12 35 +23 J.J. Yeley
13 23 +10 Michael McDowell
14 33 +19 Kyle Busch
15 28 +13 Bubba Wallace
16 17 +1 Paul Menard
17 12 -5 Chris Buescher
18 18 Daniel Hemric
19 Brendan Gaughan
20 3 -17 Kyle Larson
24 21 -3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
25 7 -18 Joey Logano
26 9 -17 Denny Hamlin
29 11 -18 Kevin Harvick
32 20 -12 Ryan Preece
33 14 -19 Austin Dillon
34 13 -21 Clint Bowyer
35 8 -27 Chase Elliott
36 10 -26 Ryan Blaney
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kurt Busch 1 2 19
Kyle Busch 4 1 17
Kyle Larson 3 5 14
Denny Hamlin 5 3 14
Jimmie Johnson 2 7 13
Clint Bowyer 6 5
Chase Elliott 6 5
William Byron 8 3
Joey Logano 8 3
Kevin Harvick 10 1
Justin Haley
Ty Dillon
Ryan Newman
Corey LaJoie
Aric Almirola
Matt DiBenedetto
Matt Tifft
Landon Cassill
J.J. Yeley
Michael McDowell
Bubba Wallace
Paul Menard
Chris Buescher
Daniel Hemric
Brendan Gaughan
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Ryan Preece
Austin Dillon
Ryan Blaney
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Justin Haley 23.4 1 +22.4
2 William Byron 13.9 2 +11.9
3 Jimmie Johnson 18.9 3 +15.9
4 Ty Dillon 21.1 4 +17.1
6 Corey LaJoie 23.3 6 +17.3
12 J.J. Yeley 25.2 12 +13.2
13 Michael McDowell 20.0 13 +7.0
14 Kyle Busch 15.1 14 +1.1
15 Bubba Wallace 16.0 15 +1.0
17 Chris Buescher 13.6 17 -3.4
20 Kyle Larson 18.5 20 -1.5
24 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 24 -5.5
25 Joey Logano 20.5 25 -4.5
26 Denny Hamlin 16.0 26 -10.0
32 Ryan Preece 21.1 32 -10.9
33 Austin Dillon 23.4 33 -9.6
35 Chase Elliott 10.4 35 -24.6
36 Ryan Blaney 13.9 36 -22.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Justin Haley: has 24 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P35 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
Justin Haley won the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Spire Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 7, 2019.