Ford EcoBoost 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 17, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
267
Laps
20
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2019, leading 120 of 267 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 35 | +32 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 14 | +8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 30 | +20 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Daniel Hemric |
| 13 | 34 | +21 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 14 | 33 | +19 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 32 | +17 | Chase Elliott |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Paul Menard |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Brad Keselowski |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 20 | 20 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Clint Bowyer | 5 | 5 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Daniel Suarez | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Chris Buescher | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Erik Jones | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Paul Menard | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| 8 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 8 | +9.1 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 10 | -1.8 |
| 11 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 15 | -7.2 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 18 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 18 | -6.8 |
| 19 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 38 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.4 avg finish, finishing P15 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400 held?
The 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2019.