Dixie Vodka 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway — June 14, 2020
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020, leading 137 of 267 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 14, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | Tyler Reddick |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Aric Almirola |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | William Byron |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Michael McDowell |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 27 | 5 | -22 | Joey Logano |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| William Byron | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 5 | — | 12 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Alex Bowman | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Kyle Busch | 15 | 10 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 6 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 10 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 13 | -0.3 |
| 15 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 18 | -4.5 |
| 19 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 19 | +0.1 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 27 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 27 | -12.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P17. Track history: 38 starts, 12.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 held?
The 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 14, 2020.