Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records
Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 5, 2020
Kevin Harvick
Winner
161
Laps
23
Entries
9
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 5, 2020, leading 68 of 161 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 5, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 16 | +14 | Matt Kenseth |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 26 | +21 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 7 | 30 | +23 | Michael McDowell |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Joey Logano |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Christopher Bell |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 17 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 18 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Daniel Suarez |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | Garrett Smithley |
| 27 | 13 | -14 | William Byron |
| 28 | 2 | -26 | Denny Hamlin |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clint Bowyer | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 7 | — | 14 |
| William Byron | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| Denny Hamlin | 12 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Joey Logano | 2 | 17 | — | 9 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 5 | 20 | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | 13 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Cole Custer | 9 | 34 | — | 2 |
| Kurt Busch | 14 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 5 | +17.9 |
| 6 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 8 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 11 | -3.2 |
| 12 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 15 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 17 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 17 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 18 | -0.9 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 20 | -6.0 |
| 27 | William Byron | 10.7 | 27 | -16.3 |
| 28 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 28 | -19.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 23 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 7.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 21.2 avg finish, finishing P8 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 4 starts, 4.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records at Indianapolis Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records held?
The 2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 powered by Big Machine Records was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 5, 2020.