Pocono 350
Pocono Raceway — June 28, 2020
Denny Hamlin
Winner
140
Laps
22
Entries
8
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Pocono 350 at Pocono Raceway on June 28, 2020, leading 49 of 140 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 5 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 6 | 6 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 7 | 7 | — | William Byron |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Matt Kenseth |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 32 | +17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 17 | 34 | +17 | Cole Custer |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 19 | 36 | +17 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 38 | 16 | -22 | Kyle Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clint Bowyer | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Kyle Busch | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Erik Jones | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Brad Keselowski | 14 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 4 | 12 | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | 12 | 6 | — | 5 |
| William Byron | 6 | 17 | — | 5 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Aric Almirola | 21 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | 13 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 7 | William Byron | 10.7 | 7 | +3.7 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| 10 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 14 | +3.1 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 15 | +4.9 |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 17 | +5.9 |
| 19 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 19 | +0.1 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 22 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 22 | -12.8 |
| 38 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 38 | -21.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 38 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.5 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 17 starts, 9.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Pocono 350?
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Pocono 350 at Pocono Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2020 Pocono 350 held?
The 2020 Pocono 350 was held at Pocono Raceway on June 28, 2020.