Cup Series Preview

Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway
Laps 400 Distance 600 mi Type intermediate Coverage Prime Video · 6:00 PM ET Stages 100 / 200 / 300 / 400
1.5
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Complete
Sunday, May 24, 2026
6:00 PM ET

The 2026 Coca-Cola 600 will be run in tribute to Kyle Busch, who died on May 21 at age 41 after a severe illness. Richard Childress Racing will park the No. 8 indefinitely (reserving the number for Busch's 11-year-old son Brexton when he is ready to race) and field Austin Hill in a renumbered No. 33 Chevrolet for Charlotte and beyond. Hill, RCR's full-time O'Reilly Auto Parts Series driver, had already been named the substitute before Busch's passing. In Friday's Craftsman Truck Series race, Corey Day will pilot Busch's No. 7 Chevrolet for Spire Motorsports. Busch's legacy at Charlotte, a track where he reached victory lane in all three national series, will be honored before the green flag drops on Memorial Day weekend's longest race. The Coca-Cola 600 is NASCAR's longest race: 600 grueling miles at Charlotte Motor Speedway on Memorial Day weekend. The 1.5-mile quad-oval is the shop-door track for many Cup teams, which makes winning here a matter of organizational pride as much as driver skill. Jimmie Johnson won three straight Coke 600s from 2003-2005, the first driver to do so, and added a fourth win in 2014, while Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, and Kyle Larson all delivered memorable wins in the modern era. The track's character shifts dramatically from daylight into night as the sun sets and temperatures drop; early leaders rarely close it out, and setups that work at 6 PM often become undrivable by 10 PM. With four stages instead of the usual three, the 600 stretches strategy to its limit, rewarding teams that peak late rather than early. Tire wear, fuel windows, and the ability to adapt as track conditions flip make this as much a chess match as a race. In 2026, Hendrick Motorsports enters with momentum from their recent intermediate form, but the 1.5-mile specialists at Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske will be hard to beat over 400 laps of setup adjustments and strategy calls on a weekend the sport is mourning one of its all-time greats.

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 40 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.5 average finish.
  • Christopher Bell has 15 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 1 win and a 10.7 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 24 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 17.3 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Charlotte Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Coca-Cola 600 on?

The Coca-Cola 600 airs on Prime Video on Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, broadcast from Charlotte Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?

The Coca-Cola 600 ran on Sunday, May 24, 2026 with a 6:00 PM ET green flag on Prime Video.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
# Driver Elo Rating Last Finish
1 Denny Hamlin
1678
P3
2 Chase Briscoe
1600
P34
3 Christopher Bell
1576
P2
4 Ryan Blaney
1565
P7
5 Bubba Wallace
1559
P22
6 William Byron
1554
P9
7 Chase Elliott
1550
P37
8 Tyler Reddick
1550
P4
9 Chris Buescher
1548
P30
10 Kyle Larson
1545
P5
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.2 18.2%
2 Christopher Bell 7.8 17.8%
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 16.3%
4 Chase Briscoe 9.2 15.5%
5 Ty Gibbs 9.2 12.8%
6 Kyle Larson 10.1 11.1%
7 Bubba Wallace 10.7 9.9%
8 Tyler Reddick 10.7 8.8%
9 Joey Logano 11.2 7.4%
10 William Byron 11.2 7.4%
11 Chase Elliott 11.9 5.5%
12 Chris Buescher 12.7 5.1%
13 Ryan Preece 13.1 4.7%
14 Daniel Suarez 13.2 4.0%
15 Austin Cindric 13.3 3.6%
16 Carson Hocevar 14.0 3.1%
17 Ross Chastain 14.5 3.1%
18 Brad Keselowski 15.4 2.4%
19 Alex Bowman 15.4 2.2%
20 Erik Jones 15.4 1.9%
21 Michael McDowell 17.0 1.2%
22 Austin Dillon 17.1 0.9%
23 Todd Gilliland 18.3 0.8%
24 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.7%
25 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 0.5%
26 Shane van Gisbergen 19.1 0.5%
27 Casey Mears 19.1 0.4%
28 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 0.4%
29 Kevin Magnussen 19.9 0.3%
30 Josh Berry 19.9 0.3%
31 Zane Smith 20.9 0.2%
32 Noah Gragson 22.9 0.1%
33 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 21.4 0.1%
34 Riley Herbst 22.9 0.1%
35 Katherine Legge 22.9 0.1%
36 Ty Dillon 23.9 0.1%
37 Cole Custer 21.4 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 24.7 0.0%
39 Connor Zilisch 25.7 0.0%
40 Cody Ware 58.0 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9

(0/5 top-5 hits)

35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races

History at Charlotte Motor Speedway

Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (22 races)

Recent Results

Year Race Winner
2026 Coca-Cola 600 Daniel Suarez
2025 Coca-Cola 600 Ross Chastain
2024 Coca-Cola 600 Christopher Bell
2023 Coca-Cola 600 Ryan Blaney
2022 Coca-Cola 600 Denny Hamlin

All Results at This Track

Laps Led Leaders

Driver Total Laps Led
Martin Truex, Jr. 1058
Kyle Busch 749
Jimmie Johnson 550
William Byron 485
Kyle Larson 447

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Charlotte Motor Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Martin Truex, Jr. 1058 laps led
Kyle Busch 749 laps led
Jimmie Johnson 550 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Denny Hamlin 10.05 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Tyler Reddick 9.50 avg, 0 wins
William Byron 13.20 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

Explore More