Pocono Organics 325
Pocono Raceway — June 27, 2020
Kevin Harvick
Winner
130
Laps
21
Entries
8
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2020, leading 17 of 130 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 27, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 2 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 29 | +25 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Chris Buescher |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Matt Kenseth |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | William Byron |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 16 | — | Cole Custer |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | Ryan Preece |
| 36 | 1 | -35 | Joey Logano |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 5 | — | 12 |
| Kurt Busch | 4 | 7 | — | 11 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Clint Bowyer | 11 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | 13 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 5 | +12.0 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 9 | +2.2 |
| 10 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.7 | 14 | -3.3 |
| 16 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 16 | +6.9 |
| 17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 19 | -1.9 |
| 20 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 20 | -9.9 |
| 36 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 36 | -21.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 45 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 38 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.5 avg finish (7 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P17. Track history: 47 starts, 14.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 at Pocono Raceway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 held?
The 2020 Pocono Organics 325 was held at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2020.