AdventHealth 400
Kansas SpeedwayKansas Speedway has quietly become one of the best intermediate tracks on the Cup Series schedule. The 1.5-mile D-shaped oval opened in 2001 with uniform 15-degree banking, but the 2012 repave and the addition of progressive banking, from 17 to 20 degrees, transformed the racing surface into a multi-groove playground that rewards drivers who can hunt for grip across the width of the track. Over the last decade, Kansas has produced some of the closest finishes in NASCAR history, including Kyle Larson's 0.001-second victory over Chris Buescher in the 2024 spring race, the closest finish in modern Cup history. The repaved surface takes rubber quickly, and by lap 40 of a run, the outside lane becomes the preferred groove as tire wear opens up the top. Joe Gibbs Racing and Hendrick Motorsports have traded dominance here in recent seasons, with Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Kyle Larson all logging multiple wins. The AdventHealth 400 is a 267-lap test of long-run speed and short-run restart aggression, and the winner almost always comes from the top five in the closing stage.
Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin has 40 starts at Kansas Speedway with 5 wins and a 12.4 average finish.
- Chase Briscoe has 17 starts at Kansas Speedway with 1 win and a 15.0 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 28 starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.3 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Kansas Speedway from 1949-2026.
The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the AdventHealth 400 on?
The AdventHealth 400 airs on FOX on Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, broadcast from Kansas Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The AdventHealth 400 ran on Sunday, April 19, 2026 with a 2:00 PM ET green flag on FOX.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 1679 | P4 |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 1605 | P3 |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 1579 | P10 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 1568 | P24 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 1560 | P8 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 1559 | P20 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1555 | P7 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 1544 | P1 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 1544 | P5 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 1526 | P19 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 12.8% |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 11.0% |
| 7 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 9.9% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.7% |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 7.7% |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 6.7% |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 5.5% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 13 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 4.5% |
| 14 | Carson Hocevar | 13.2 | 3.9% |
| 15 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 3.6% |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 2.8% |
| 18 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 1.3% |
| 22 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 23 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 24 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 25 | Zane Smith | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 26 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 27 | Casey Mears | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 0.4% |
| 29 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 30 | Kevin Magnussen | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 32 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 33 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Katherine Legge | 22.2 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.7 | 0.1% |
| 39 | Connor Zilisch | 26.1 | 0.0% |
| 40 | Cody Ware | 57.0 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12
(1/5 top-5 hits)
37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races
History at Kansas Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (29 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | AdventHealth 400 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2025 | Hollywood Casino 400 | Chase Elliott |
| 2025 | AdventHealth 400 | Kyle Larson |
| 2024 | Hollywood Casino 400 | Ross Chastain |
| 2024 | AdventHealth 400 | Kyle Larson |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1003 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 879 |
| Denny Hamlin | 774 |
| Joey Logano | 514 |
| Kyle Busch | 379 |
Track Type Tendencies
Intermediate tracks like Kansas Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.
Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
50%+ top-5 rate at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership