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Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Bristol Motor Speedway
Laps 500 Distance 266.5 mi Type short Coverage USA · 7:30 PM ET Stages 125 / 250 / 500
0.533
MI
concrete
Surface
Race Date
Saturday, September 19, 2026
7:30 PM ET

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway is the loudest, most concentrated short-track racing in the sport. The 0.533-mile concrete bullring with 24-28 degrees of banking packs 40 cars into a space barely bigger than a football stadium, and the 500 laps under the lights produce a level of physical contact, bumper aggression, and raw emotion that no other event matches. Bristol has delivered some of the most memorable moments in NASCAR history: Dale Earnhardt Sr. rattling Terry Labonte's cage in 1999, Kyle Busch's tire-shredding dominance across a Cup/Xfinity/Truck sweep, and Denny Hamlin's recent night-race wins that cemented his short-track reputation. The concrete surface wears tires differently from asphalt, and tire fall-off through a 125-lap stage is dramatic enough that pit strategy becomes an art form. Track position is valuable, but so is clean air, and the constant threat of contact makes every restart a potential disaster. As a Chase race, the Night Race traditionally swings championship momentum: a win here can transform a struggling contender into a title threat, and a wrecked car can end a Chase campaign in a single contact under the lights.

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 49 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 4 wins and a 14.5 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 30 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 12.4 average finish.
  • Christopher Bell has 21 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 4 wins and a 12.1 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Bristol Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Bass Pro Shops Night Race on?

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race airs on USA on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Bristol Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start today?

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, September 19, 2026, airing on USA. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Kyle Larson
1656
P3
2Ryan Blaney
1646
P2
3Denny Hamlin
1642
P9
4Joey Logano
1605
P7
5Christopher Bell
1595
P27
6Chase Elliott
1582
P22
7William Byron
1560
P30
8Ty Gibbs
1557
P1
9Chase Briscoe
1556
P5
10Brad Keselowski
1535
P14
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.8 18.6%
2 Ryan Blaney 6.8 17.5%
3 Christopher Bell 8.3 16.2%
4 Chase Briscoe 8.6 15.7%
5 Ty Gibbs 8.6 12.8%
6 Chase Elliott 9.9 11.6%
7 Joey Logano 10.3 9.7%
8 Kyle Larson 10.3 8.4%
9 William Byron 10.8 7.0%
10 Chris Buescher 12.0 6.2%
11 Tyler Reddick 12.0 5.0%
12 Ryan Preece 12.6 4.4%
13 Ross Chastain 12.6 3.5%
14 Bubba Wallace 12.6 3.5%
15 Brad Keselowski 13.8 3.1%
16 Daniel Suarez 14.0 2.8%
17 Austin Cindric 14.0 2.3%
18 Carson Hocevar 15.6 1.7%
19 Alex Bowman 15.6 1.7%
20 Michael McDowell 15.6 1.1%
21 Shane van Gisbergen 17.0 0.9%
22 Austin Dillon 17.7 0.6%
23 Todd Gilliland 17.7 0.6%
24 Erik Jones 17.7 0.5%
25 Jimmie Johnson 18.0 0.4%
26 John Hunter Nemechek 19.0 0.4%
27 Casey Mears 18.3 0.4%
28 Josh Berry 19.0 0.4%
29 Kevin Magnussen 19.0 0.4%
30 A.J. Allmendinger 20.1 0.3%
31 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.4 0.3%
32 Katherine Legge 20.2 0.2%
33 Zane Smith 20.2 0.2%
34 Cole Custer 22.1 0.1%
35 Riley Herbst 21.7 0.1%
36 Ty Dillon 23.1 0.1%
37 Connor Zilisch 23.0 0.1%
38 Noah Gragson 22.1 0.1%
39 B.J. McLeod 24.9 0.1%
40 Cody Ware 37.3 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12

(1/5 top-5 hits)

37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races

Track Type Tendencies

short

Bristol Motor Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.

Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Larson 2148 laps led
Kyle Busch 1237 laps led
Brad Keselowski 932 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Value Picks
Chase Briscoe 12.73 avg, 0 wins
Chase Elliott 12.90 avg, 0 wins
Carson Hocevar 14.00 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

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