Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Bristol Motor SpeedwayThe Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway is the loudest, most concentrated short-track racing in the sport. The 0.533-mile concrete bullring with 24-28 degrees of banking packs 40 cars into a space barely bigger than a football stadium, and the 500 laps under the lights produce a level of physical contact, bumper aggression, and raw emotion that no other event matches. Bristol has delivered some of the most memorable moments in NASCAR history: Dale Earnhardt Sr. rattling Terry Labonte's cage in 1999, Kyle Busch's tire-shredding dominance across a Cup/Xfinity/Truck sweep, and Denny Hamlin's recent night-race wins that cemented his short-track reputation. The concrete surface wears tires differently from asphalt, and tire fall-off through a 125-lap stage is dramatic enough that pit strategy becomes an art form. Track position is valuable, but so is clean air, and the constant threat of contact makes every restart a potential disaster. As a Chase race, the Night Race traditionally swings championship momentum — a win here can transform a struggling contender into a title threat, and a wrecked car can end a Chase campaign in a single contact under the lights.
Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin has 48 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 4 wins and a 14.3 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 28 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.6 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 29 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Bristol Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.
Dale Earnhardt has won 10 times at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 9.4 average finish.
See Dale Earnhardt's full statsKyle Busch has led 4,874 laps at Bristol Motor Speedway — more than anyone else.
Kyle Busch's statsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Bass Pro Shops Night Race on?
The Bass Pro Shops Night Race airs on USA on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Bristol Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start today?
The Bass Pro Shops Night Race green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, September 19, 2026, airing on USA. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 1656 | P3 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 1648 | P2 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 1623 | P9 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 1594 | P27 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 1577 | P7 |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 1575 | P22 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1550 | P30 |
| 8 | Ty Gibbs | 1544 | P1 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 1539 | P20 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 1536 | P14 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin Best in Field | 6.8 | 18.6% |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 17.5% |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 16.2% |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9.5% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.3 | 8.2% |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 7.0% |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5.5% |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4.9% |
| 12 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 4.3% |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 3.5% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3.4% |
| 15 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 2.4% |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 2.1% |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 1.7% |
| 20 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1.3% |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 22 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 23 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 0.7% |
| 24 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 0.6% |
| 25 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 0.5% |
| 26 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.4% |
| 27 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 0.4% |
| 28 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 29 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 30 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Katherine Legge | 20.3 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 0.2% |
| 33 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 0.2% |
| 34 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Bristol Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (29 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Food City 500 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2025 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race | Christopher Bell |
| 2025 | Food City 500 | Kyle Larson |
| 2024 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race | Kyle Larson |
| 2024 | Food City 500 | Denny Hamlin |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2148 |
| Kyle Busch | 1237 |
| Brad Keselowski | 932 |
| Denny Hamlin | 921 |
| Joey Logano | 835 |
Track Type Tendencies
Bristol Motor Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership