Cup Series Preview

Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Bristol Motor Speedway
Laps 500 Distance 266.5 mi Type short Coverage USA · 7:30 PM ET Stages 125 / 250 / 500
0.533
MI
concrete
Surface
Race Date
Saturday, September 19, 2026
7:30 PM ET

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway is the loudest, most concentrated short-track racing in the sport. The 0.533-mile concrete bullring with 24-28 degrees of banking packs 40 cars into a space barely bigger than a football stadium, and the 500 laps under the lights produce a level of physical contact, bumper aggression, and raw emotion that no other event matches. Bristol has delivered some of the most memorable moments in NASCAR history: Dale Earnhardt Sr. rattling Terry Labonte's cage in 1999, Kyle Busch's tire-shredding dominance across a Cup/Xfinity/Truck sweep, and Denny Hamlin's recent night-race wins that cemented his short-track reputation. The concrete surface wears tires differently from asphalt, and tire fall-off through a 125-lap stage is dramatic enough that pit strategy becomes an art form. Track position is valuable, but so is clean air, and the constant threat of contact makes every restart a potential disaster. As a Chase race, the Night Race traditionally swings championship momentum — a win here can transform a struggling contender into a title threat, and a wrecked car can end a Chase campaign in a single contact under the lights.

Band A · The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 48 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 4 wins and a 14.3 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 28 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.6 average finish.
  • Chase Elliott has 29 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Bristol Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Dale Earnhardt has won 10 times at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 9.4 average finish.

See Dale Earnhardt's full stats
LAST TIME HERE

Kyle Busch has led 4,874 laps at Bristol Motor Speedway — more than anyone else.

Kyle Busch's stats
Band B · The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

Band C · The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Bass Pro Shops Night Race on?

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race airs on USA on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Bristol Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start today?

The Bass Pro Shops Night Race green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, September 19, 2026, airing on USA. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Kyle Larson
1656
P3
2Ryan Blaney
1648
P2
3Denny Hamlin
1623
P9
4Christopher Bell
1594
P27
5Joey Logano
1577
P7
6Chase Elliott
1575
P22
7William Byron
1550
P30
8Ty Gibbs
1544
P1
9Ross Chastain
1539
P20
10Brad Keselowski
1536
P14
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.8 18.6%
2 Ryan Blaney 6.8 17.5%
3 Chase Elliott 8.3 16.2%
4 Kyle Larson 8.6 13.2%
5 Christopher Bell 8.6 13.2%
6 Tyler Reddick 9.9 11.5%
7 Chris Buescher 10.3 9.5%
8 William Byron 10.3 8.2%
9 Ryan Preece 10.8 7.0%
10 Brad Keselowski 12.0 5.5%
11 Joey Logano 12.1 4.9%
12 Ty Gibbs 12.6 4.3%
13 Chase Briscoe 12.6 3.5%
14 Ross Chastain 13.8 3.4%
15 Bubba Wallace 14.0 2.7%
16 Alex Bowman 14.0 2.7%
17 Carson Hocevar 14.7 2.4%
18 Michael McDowell 15.0 2.1%
19 Daniel Suarez 15.6 1.7%
20 Kyle Busch 15.6 1.3%
21 Austin Dillon 17.0 0.8%
22 Austin Cindric 17.0 0.8%
23 Todd Gilliland 17.1 0.7%
24 Casey Mears 18.0 0.6%
25 Erik Jones 17.7 0.5%
26 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 0.4%
27 Josh Berry 19.0 0.4%
28 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 0.3%
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 0.3%
30 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.3%
31 Katherine Legge 20.3 0.2%
32 Connor Zilisch 21.2 0.2%
33 Zane Smith 20.2 0.2%
34 Noah Gragson 23.0 0.1%
35 Riley Herbst 22.1 0.1%
36 Cole Custer 23.0 0.1%
37 Ty Dillon 24.3 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 25.6 0.0%
39 Cody Ware 29.8 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24

(1/5 top-5 hits)

38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races

Track Type Tendencies

short

Bristol Motor Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.

Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Larson 2148 laps led
Kyle Busch 1237 laps led
Brad Keselowski 932 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Value Picks
Carson Hocevar 11.40 avg, 0 wins
Tyler Reddick 11.73 avg, 0 wins
Chase Briscoe 12.45 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership

Explore More