Cup Series Preview

Cook Out 400

Martinsville Speedway
Laps 400 Distance 210 mi Type short Coverage FS1 · 3:30 PM ET Stages 80 / 180 / 400
0.526
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Complete
Sunday, March 29, 2026
3:30 PM ET

Martinsville Speedway is NASCAR's oldest track, a 0.526-mile flat paperclip that has been on the Cup schedule since 1949 and rewards bumper-to-bumper aggression like no other oval. The straightaways are short, the corners are tight, and the asphalt-and-concrete surface offers no banking to lean on, so cars bunch up nose-to-tail through every turn and the bumpers do most of the talking on every restart. Brake heat is the central engineering problem here — rotors glow orange by the late stages, and a brake failure can end a strong run in a heartbeat. The spring Cook Out 400 traditionally serves as an early-season barometer for which teams can survive 400 laps of contact and which drivers can keep their composure when frustration builds late. The grandfather-clock trophy that goes to the winner is one of the most coveted prizes in the sport — there is no faking your way to a Martinsville win, and the place has a long memory for the rivalries it forges. Joe Gibbs Racing, Hendrick, and Penske drivers have all delivered defining short-track moments here, and the spring race continues to set the tone for how the season's intra-garage tensions will play out.

Band A · The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 47 starts at Martinsville Speedway with 8 wins and a 9.2 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 30 starts at Martinsville Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.7 average finish.
  • Chase Elliott has 26 starts at Martinsville Speedway with 3 wins and a 10.2 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Martinsville Speedway from 1949-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Denny Hamlin has won 8 times at Martinsville Speedway with a 9.2 average finish.

See Denny Hamlin's full stats
LAST TIME HERE

The last Cup race at Martinsville Speedway was the 2026 Cook Out 400 (chaos score: 36.6).

Track history
Band B · The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

Band C · The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Cook Out 400 on?

The Cook Out 400 airs on FS1 on Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, broadcast from Martinsville Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?

The Cook Out 400 ran on Sunday, March 29, 2026 with a 3:30 PM ET green flag on FS1.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Kyle Larson
1656
P9
2Ryan Blaney
1648
P6
3Denny Hamlin
1623
P2
4Christopher Bell
1594
P7
5Joey Logano
1577
P3
6Chase Elliott
1575
P1
7William Byron
1550
P5
8Ty Gibbs
1544
P4
9Ross Chastain
1539
P16
10Brad Keselowski
1536
P13
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.8 18.6%
2 Ryan Blaney 6.8 17.5%
3 Chase Elliott 8.3 16.2%
4 Kyle Larson 8.6 13.2%
5 Christopher Bell 8.6 13.2%
6 Tyler Reddick 9.9 11.5%
7 Chris Buescher 10.3 9.5%
8 William Byron 10.3 8.2%
9 Ryan Preece 10.8 7.0%
10 Brad Keselowski 12.0 5.5%
11 Joey Logano 12.1 4.9%
12 Ty Gibbs 12.6 4.3%
13 Chase Briscoe 12.6 3.5%
14 Ross Chastain 13.8 3.4%
15 Bubba Wallace 14.0 2.7%
16 Alex Bowman 14.0 2.7%
17 Carson Hocevar 14.7 2.4%
18 Michael McDowell 15.0 2.1%
19 Daniel Suarez 15.6 1.7%
20 Kyle Busch 15.6 1.3%
21 Austin Dillon 17.0 0.8%
22 Austin Cindric 17.0 0.8%
23 Todd Gilliland 17.1 0.7%
24 Casey Mears 18.0 0.6%
25 Erik Jones 17.7 0.5%
26 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 0.4%
27 Josh Berry 19.0 0.4%
28 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 0.3%
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 0.3%
30 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.3%
31 Katherine Legge 20.3 0.2%
32 Connor Zilisch 21.2 0.2%
33 Zane Smith 20.2 0.2%
34 Noah Gragson 23.0 0.1%
35 Riley Herbst 22.1 0.1%
36 Cole Custer 23.0 0.1%
37 Ty Dillon 24.3 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 25.6 0.0%
39 Cody Ware 29.8 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24

(1/5 top-5 hits)

38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races

History at Martinsville Speedway

Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (29 races)

Recent Results

Year Race Winner
2026 Cook Out 400 Chase Elliott
2025 Xfinity 500 William Byron
2025 Cook Out 400 Denny Hamlin
2024 Xfinity 500 Ryan Blaney
2024 Cook Out 400 William Byron

All Results at This Track

Laps Led Leaders

Driver Total Laps Led
Denny Hamlin 1918
Chase Elliott 1359
Jimmie Johnson 1256
Joey Logano 1220
Martin Truex, Jr. 1103

Track Type Tendencies

short

Martinsville Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.

Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Denny Hamlin 1918 laps led
Chase Elliott 1359 laps led
Jimmie Johnson 1256 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Denny Hamlin 10.88 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Ross Chastain 12.42 avg, 0 wins
Todd Gilliland 13.00 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership

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