Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube
Las Vegas Motor SpeedwayLas Vegas Motor Speedway is the bread and butter of NASCAR, a 1.5-mile intermediate oval in the Nevada desert that represents the truest test of what a Cup Series team can build. Intermediate tracks are where the best organizations separate themselves from the rest of the field, where engineering, preparation, and execution matter more than any single moment of brilliance. As rubber builds up on the surface through the course of a run, multiple grooves develop across the track, creating the kind of side-by-side racing that rewards drivers who can adapt their line and manage the changing grip levels. Long green-flag runs test tire management and aerodynamic setups, and the teams that find the right balance between speed on short runs and consistency over 40 or 50 laps are the ones that contend at the end. Las Vegas has been on the Cup schedule since 1998 and has consistently delivered competitive racing that showcases the depth of the field. As the first true intermediate test of the season, this race reveals which teams brought the best cars to the track and which ones still have work to do. The desert does not lie: the cream rises here.
Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin has 35 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 12.1 average finish.
- Chase Briscoe has 18 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 14.9 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 24 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.0 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Las Vegas Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.
The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube on?
The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube airs on FS1 on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube ran on Sunday, March 15, 2026 with a 4:00 PM ET green flag on FS1.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 1679 | P1 |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 1605 | P8 |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 1579 | P6 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 1568 | P16 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 1560 | P2 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 1559 | P4 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1555 | P3 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 1544 | P13 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 1544 | P9 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 1526 | P18 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 12.8% |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 11.0% |
| 7 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 9.9% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.7% |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 7.7% |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 6.7% |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 5.5% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 13 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 4.5% |
| 14 | Carson Hocevar | 13.2 | 3.9% |
| 15 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 3.6% |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 2.8% |
| 18 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 1.3% |
| 22 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 23 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 24 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 25 | Zane Smith | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 26 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 27 | Casey Mears | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 0.4% |
| 29 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 30 | Kevin Magnussen | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 32 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 33 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Katherine Legge | 22.2 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.7 | 0.1% |
| 39 | Connor Zilisch | 26.1 | 0.0% |
| 40 | Cody Ware | 57.0 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12
(1/5 top-5 hits)
37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races
History at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (23 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube | Denny Hamlin |
| 2025 | South Point 400 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2025 | Pennzoil 400 | Josh Berry |
| 2024 | South Point 400 | Joey Logano |
| 2024 | Pennzoil 400 | Kyle Larson |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 881 |
| Joey Logano | 587 |
| Denny Hamlin | 555 |
| Brad Keselowski | 365 |
| William Byron | 363 |
Track Type Tendencies
Intermediate tracks like Las Vegas Motor Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.
Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership