Cup Series Preview

Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube

Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Laps 267 Distance 400 mi Type intermediate Coverage FS1 · 4:00 PM ET Stages 80 / 165 / 267
1.5
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Complete
Sunday, March 15, 2026
4:00 PM ET

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is the bread and butter of NASCAR, a 1.5-mile intermediate oval in the Nevada desert that represents the truest test of what a Cup Series team can build. Intermediate tracks are where the best organizations separate themselves from the rest of the field, where engineering, preparation, and execution matter more than any single moment of brilliance. As rubber builds up on the surface through the course of a run, multiple grooves develop across the track, creating the kind of side-by-side racing that rewards drivers who can adapt their line and manage the changing grip levels. Long green-flag runs test tire management and aerodynamic setups, and the teams that find the right balance between speed on short runs and consistency over 40 or 50 laps are the ones that contend at the end. Las Vegas has been on the Cup schedule since 1998 and has consistently delivered competitive racing that showcases the depth of the field. As the first true intermediate test of the season, this race reveals which teams brought the best cars to the track and which ones still have work to do. The desert does not lie: the cream rises here.

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 35 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 12.1 average finish.
  • Chase Briscoe has 18 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 14.9 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 24 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.0 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Las Vegas Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube on?

The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube airs on FS1 on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?

The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube ran on Sunday, March 15, 2026 with a 4:00 PM ET green flag on FS1.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Denny Hamlin
1679
P1
2Chase Briscoe
1605
P8
3Chris Buescher
1579
P6
4Ryan Blaney
1568
P16
5Chase Elliott
1560
P2
6Christopher Bell
1559
P4
7William Byron
1555
P3
8Tyler Reddick
1544
P13
9Bubba Wallace
1544
P9
10Daniel Suarez
1526
P18
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.2 18.2%
2 Chase Briscoe 7.8 17.8%
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 16.3%
4 Chris Buescher 9.2 15.4%
5 Christopher Bell 9.2 12.8%
6 Chase Elliott 10.1 11.0%
7 Ty Gibbs 10.7 9.9%
8 William Byron 10.7 8.7%
9 Tyler Reddick 11.2 7.7%
10 Joey Logano 11.9 6.7%
11 Daniel Suarez 12.7 5.5%
12 Bubba Wallace 12.7 5.2%
13 Kyle Larson 13.1 4.5%
14 Carson Hocevar 13.2 3.9%
15 Ryan Preece 13.3 3.6%
16 Ross Chastain 14.5 3.1%
17 Erik Jones 14.7 2.8%
18 Austin Cindric 15.4 2.2%
19 Brad Keselowski 15.4 2.2%
20 Alex Bowman 16.2 1.7%
21 Michael McDowell 16.9 1.3%
22 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 0.9%
23 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 0.7%
24 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 0.7%
25 Zane Smith 18.3 0.5%
26 Todd Gilliland 19.1 0.5%
27 Casey Mears 19.1 0.5%
28 Austin Dillon 19.9 0.4%
29 Riley Herbst 19.9 0.3%
30 Kevin Magnussen 19.9 0.3%
31 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 0.3%
32 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 0.3%
33 Noah Gragson 22.9 0.1%
34 Josh Berry 21.4 0.1%
35 Cole Custer 22.0 0.1%
36 Ty Dillon 22.9 0.1%
37 Katherine Legge 22.2 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 24.7 0.1%
39 Connor Zilisch 26.1 0.0%
40 Cody Ware 57.0 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12

(1/5 top-5 hits)

37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races

History at Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (23 races)

Recent Results

Year Race Winner
2026 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube Denny Hamlin
2025 South Point 400 Denny Hamlin
2025 Pennzoil 400 Josh Berry
2024 South Point 400 Joey Logano
2024 Pennzoil 400 Kyle Larson

All Results at This Track

Laps Led Leaders

Driver Total Laps Led
Kyle Larson 881
Joey Logano 587
Denny Hamlin 555
Brad Keselowski 365
William Byron 363

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Las Vegas Motor Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Larson 881 laps led
Joey Logano 587 laps led
Denny Hamlin 555 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Value Picks
Kyle Busch 11.55 avg, 0 wins
Jimmie Johnson 13.62 avg, 0 wins
Christopher Bell 14.85 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

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