Cup Series Preview

Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube

Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Laps 267 Distance 400 mi Type intermediate Coverage FS1 · 4:00 PM ET Stages 80 / 165 / 267
1.5
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Complete
Sunday, March 15, 2026
4:00 PM ET

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is the bread and butter of NASCAR, a 1.5-mile intermediate oval in the Nevada desert that represents the truest test of what a Cup Series team can build. Intermediate tracks are where the best organizations separate themselves from the rest of the field, where engineering, preparation, and execution matter more than any single moment of brilliance. As rubber builds up on the surface through the course of a run, multiple grooves develop across the track, creating the kind of side-by-side racing that rewards drivers who can adapt their line and manage the changing grip levels. Long green-flag runs test tire management and aerodynamic setups, and the teams that find the right balance between speed on short runs and consistency over 40 or 50 laps are the ones that contend at the end. Las Vegas has been on the Cup schedule since 1998 and has consistently delivered competitive racing that showcases the depth of the field. As the first true intermediate test of the season, this race reveals which teams brought the best cars to the track and which ones still have work to do. The desert does not lie: the cream rises here.

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 35 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 12.1 average finish.
  • Christopher Bell has 21 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.5 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 24 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.0 average finish.

Based on Cup Series results at Las Vegas Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube on?

The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube airs on FS1 on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.

What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?

The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube ran on Sunday, March 15, 2026 with a 4:00 PM ET green flag on FS1.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
# Driver Elo Rating Last Finish
1 Denny Hamlin
1678
P1
2 Chase Briscoe
1600
P8
3 Christopher Bell
1576
P4
4 Ryan Blaney
1565
P16
5 Bubba Wallace
1559
P9
6 William Byron
1554
P3
7 Chase Elliott
1550
P2
8 Tyler Reddick
1550
P13
9 Chris Buescher
1548
P6
10 Kyle Larson
1545
P7
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.2 18.2%
2 Christopher Bell 7.8 17.8%
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 16.3%
4 Chase Briscoe 9.2 15.5%
5 Ty Gibbs 9.2 12.8%
6 Kyle Larson 10.1 11.1%
7 Bubba Wallace 10.7 9.9%
8 Tyler Reddick 10.7 8.8%
9 Joey Logano 11.2 7.4%
10 William Byron 11.2 7.4%
11 Chase Elliott 11.9 5.5%
12 Chris Buescher 12.7 5.1%
13 Ryan Preece 13.1 4.7%
14 Daniel Suarez 13.2 4.0%
15 Austin Cindric 13.3 3.6%
16 Carson Hocevar 14.0 3.1%
17 Ross Chastain 14.5 3.1%
18 Brad Keselowski 15.4 2.4%
19 Alex Bowman 15.4 2.2%
20 Erik Jones 15.4 1.9%
21 Michael McDowell 17.0 1.2%
22 Austin Dillon 17.1 0.9%
23 Todd Gilliland 18.3 0.8%
24 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.7%
25 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 0.5%
26 Shane van Gisbergen 19.1 0.5%
27 Casey Mears 19.1 0.4%
28 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 0.4%
29 Kevin Magnussen 19.9 0.3%
30 Josh Berry 19.9 0.3%
31 Zane Smith 20.9 0.2%
32 Noah Gragson 22.9 0.1%
33 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 21.4 0.1%
34 Riley Herbst 22.9 0.1%
35 Katherine Legge 22.9 0.1%
36 Ty Dillon 23.9 0.1%
37 Cole Custer 21.4 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 24.7 0.0%
39 Connor Zilisch 25.7 0.0%
40 Cody Ware 58.0 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9

(0/5 top-5 hits)

35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races

History at Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (23 races)

Recent Results

Year Race Winner
2026 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube Denny Hamlin
2025 South Point 400 Denny Hamlin
2025 Pennzoil 400 Josh Berry
2024 South Point 400 Joey Logano
2024 Pennzoil 400 Kyle Larson

All Results at This Track

Laps Led Leaders

Driver Total Laps Led
Kyle Larson 881
Joey Logano 587
Denny Hamlin 555
Brad Keselowski 365
William Byron 363

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Las Vegas Motor Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Larson 881 laps led
Joey Logano 587 laps led
Denny Hamlin 555 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Value Picks
Kyle Busch 11.55 avg, 0 wins
Jimmie Johnson 13.62 avg, 0 wins
Christopher Bell 14.85 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

Explore More