Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube
Las Vegas Motor SpeedwayLas Vegas Motor Speedway is the bread and butter of NASCAR — a 1.5-mile intermediate oval in the Nevada desert that represents the truest test of what a Cup Series team can build. Intermediate tracks are where the best organizations separate themselves from the rest of the field, where engineering, preparation, and execution matter more than any single moment of brilliance. As rubber builds up on the surface through the course of a run, multiple grooves develop across the track, creating the kind of side-by-side racing that rewards drivers who can adapt their line and manage the changing grip levels. Long green-flag runs test tire management and aerodynamic setups, and the teams that find the right balance between speed on short runs and consistency over 40 or 50 laps are the ones that contend at the end. Las Vegas has been on the Cup schedule since 1998 and has consistently delivered competitive racing that showcases the depth of the field. As the first true intermediate test of the season, this race reveals which teams brought the best cars to the track and which ones still have work to do. The desert does not lie — the cream rises here.
Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick has 22 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 12.8 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 16 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 average finish.
- Denny Hamlin has 37 starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 13.2 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Las Vegas Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.
The wildest race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway was the 1999 Las Vegas 400 with a chaos score of 91.0.
See track historyKyle Larson won the 2026 The LiUNA! at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
See Kyle Larson's resultsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube on?
The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube airs on FS1 on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube ran on Sunday, March 15, 2026 with a 4:00 PM ET green flag on FS1.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 1624 | P1 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 1617 | P2 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 1597 | P13 |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 1591 | P6 |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 1579 | P8 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 1570 | P10 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1561 | P3 |
| 8 | Ryan Preece | 1544 | P11 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 1543 | P9 |
| 10 | Christopher Bell | 1539 | P4 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 10.9% |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9.6% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.4% |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7.6% |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 6.4% |
| 11 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.1% |
| 13 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 4.3% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 3.8% |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 3.3% |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2.7% |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 1.4% |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 1.2% |
| 23 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1.1% |
| 24 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 25 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 27 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 29 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.4% |
| 30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Katherine Legge | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 0.1% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (23 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube | Denny Hamlin |
| 2025 | South Point 400 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2025 | Pennzoil 400 | Josh Berry |
| 2024 | South Point 400 | Joey Logano |
| 2024 | Pennzoil 400 | Kyle Larson |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 881 |
| Joey Logano | 587 |
| Denny Hamlin | 555 |
| Brad Keselowski | 365 |
| William Byron | 362 |
Track Type Tendencies
Intermediate tracks like Las Vegas Motor Speedway reward the complete package — car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.
Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
50%+ top-5 rate at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership