Coke Zero Sugar 400
Daytona International SpeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick has 17 starts at Daytona International Speedway with 3 wins and a 13.9 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 30 starts at Daytona International Speedway with 2 wins and a 15.9 average finish.
- Chris Buescher has 25 starts at Daytona International Speedway with 1 win and a 16.2 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Daytona International Speedway from 1949-2026.
Tony Stewart has won 9 times at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 average finish.
See Tony Stewart's full statsDale Earnhardt has led 1,671 laps at Daytona International Speedway — more than anyone else.
Dale Earnhardt's statsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Coke Zero Sugar 400 on?
The Coke Zero Sugar 400 airs on NBC on Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Daytona International Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start today?
The Coke Zero Sugar 400 green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, August 29, 2026, airing on NBC. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 1517 | P4 |
| 2 | Daniel Suarez | 1497 | P13 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 1496 | P15 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 1495 | P2 |
| 5 | Chris Buescher | 1493 | P7 |
| 6 | William Byron | 1493 | P12 |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 1488 | P1 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 1486 | P40 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 1485 | P27 |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | 1483 | P10 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick Best in Field | 13.6 | 11.2% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 11.0% |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 10.4% |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 9.9% |
| 5 | William Byron | 13.9 | 8.9% |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 7.8% |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 7.0% |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 6.2% |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 5.7% |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 5.3% |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 4.5% |
| 12 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 3.9% |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 3.8% |
| 14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 3.3% |
| 15 | Casey Mears | 18.5 | 3.2% |
| 16 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 2.9% |
| 18 | Carson Hocevar | 19.4 | 2.8% |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 2.5% |
| 20 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 1.8% |
| 21 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 1.7% |
| 22 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 1.4% |
| 23 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 1.2% |
| 24 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 1.0% |
| 25 | Ty Gibbs | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 26 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 0.9% |
| 27 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 0.9% |
| 28 | Katherine Legge | 22.8 | 0.9% |
| 29 | Zane Smith | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 30 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 0.8% |
| 31 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 0.7% |
| 32 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 0.6% |
| 33 | Shane van Gisbergen | 23.4 | 0.5% |
| 34 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 0.4% |
| 35 | Connor Zilisch | 23.4 | 0.4% |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 0.3% |
| 37 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 0.3% |
| 38 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 0.3% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 27.9 | 0.2% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Daytona International Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (29 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Daytona 500 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2025 | Coke Zero Sugar 400 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2025 | Daytona 500 | William Byron |
| 2024 | Coke Zero Sugar 400 | Harrison Burton |
| 2024 | Daytona 500 | William Byron |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 558 |
| Joey Logano | 412 |
| Brad Keselowski | 345 |
| Kyle Busch | 283 |
| Ryan Blaney | 260 |
Track Type Tendencies
Superspeedway races at Daytona International Speedway are defined by pack racing and drafting. Results are less predictable than any other track type — the field stays tight and late-race wrecks reshape the outcome.
Manufacturer strategy and drafting alliances matter as much as raw speed. Longshot winners are more common here than anywhere on the schedule.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
50%+ top-5 rate at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership